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In late December, I published a final report on the themes of 2023 while looking ahead at their implications for the year to come. I repeated my claim that debt markets and debt levels made the futur...

Matthew Piepenburg / January 26, 2024

Ever since day-one of the predictably disastrous and politically myopic insanity of weaponizing the world reserve currency against a major power like Russia, we warned that the USD had reached an hist...

Matthew Piepenburg / January 7, 2024

As my last report for 2023, I wanted to hit the big issues blunt in the face—from debt and sovereign bond markets to themes on the USD, inflation, risk markets and physical gold. This will not be sho...

Matthew Piepenburg / December 17, 2023

Below, we consider just how far America has fallen from its founding vision (and something we can do about it).

Matthew Piepenburg / November 5, 2023

Below, we follow the breadcrumbs of simple math and bond market signals toward an oft-repeated pattern of how once-great nations become, well…not so great any more.

Matthew Piepenburg / October 22, 2023

I recently blew the dust off an old Rudyard Kipling poem, “If,” which many have castigated as a bit overly romantic, despite its high praise from Mark Twain and T.S. Eliot to India’s Khushwant Singh....

Matthew Piepenburg / August 6, 2023

Below we consider how modern currency policy may not be so good for, well, the people... This is why gold inevitably enters the conversation, for unlike policy makers, this old pet rock garners more...

Matthew Piepenburg / June 25, 2023

Below we look at the math, history and current oil environment in the backdrop of a global debt crisis to better predict currency and gold market direction without the need of tarot cards.

Matthew Piepenburg / May 4, 2023

We consider the State of California as the metaphor of a failed state as well as the failing state of the American Union, which is anything but a dream.

Matthew Piepenburg / March 8, 2023

The slow but steady implosion of global bond markets is no longer a debate but fact. Knowing this, investors can better brace themselves for the policy and market reactions to come. Here, we once aga...

Matthew Piepenburg / January 18, 2023